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Indian Stock Markets Surge as Trump Takes Clear Lead in US Election

Indian markets rallied sharply on Wednesday as Donald Trump’s projected election victory boosted investor optimism 

06-11-2024
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Indian stock market indices surged on Wednesday, bouncing back after initial volatility caused by uncertainty over the U.S. election outcome. As the race tightened between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris, Trump's projected victory sparked a rally on Dalal Street.

By 2:28 p.m., the BSE Sensex had risen 1,055.31 points, reaching 80,531.94, while the NSE Nifty50 climbed by 311.95 points to trade at 24,525.25. Broader market indices also recorded gains as election uncertainties diminished.

US Elections, Trump’s Win, and IT Sector Gains

Indian IT stocks led the market’s rally, with the Nifty IT index up by 4%. Major players like TCS, HCLTech, Infosys, Tech Mahindra, and Wipro saw significant gains. Market analysts had previously noted that a Republican win could boost U.S. equities in the short term, indirectly benefiting Indian IT stocks.

Emkay Global’s equity strategy team highlighted that “a Red Sweep could spark a short-term rally, although sustainability would depend on earnings momentum and valuations, which are currently not strong.”

Trump’s win is expected to impact major U.S. companies like Tesla, creating further upward momentum in the markets.

Analyst Insight on Market Impact

Anitha Rangan, an economist at Equirus, said Trump’s win could increase U.S. spending, leading to elevated inflation and a stronger dollar, though potentially accompanied by more trade barriers. “However, more than who wins, a decisive outcome will bring relief to markets that have been uneasy,” Rangan noted, adding that strong India-U.S. trade relations could positively impact Indian markets.

The upbeat sentiment over Trump's victory appears to be driving investor optimism on Dalal Street.

Rangan further explained, “Over the medium to long term, positive outcomes could arise from India’s constructive relations with both the U.S. and Donald Trump. With India’s substantial reserves, currency adjustments can be managed.”

She did caution that a slower rate-cutting cycle in the U.S. could influence India’s own monetary policy. However, she noted that India’s past rate hikes were only half of those in the U.S., leaving room for flexibility in supporting economic growth.

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